The Muslim Brotherhood’s Rise and Decline Across Arab States

The Muslim Brotherhood’s Century-Long Journey: From Regional Powerhouse to Pariah Organization

Nearly 100 years after its founding, the Muslim Brotherhood finds itself banned across much of the Arab world it once sought to transform—a stunning reversal for what was once the Middle East’s most influential Islamic political movement.

From Humble Beginnings to Regional Influence

Founded in 1928 by Hassan al-Banna in the Egyptian city of Ismailia, the Muslim Brotherhood emerged as a response to Western colonialism and secular modernization. What began as a grassroots religious and social welfare organization quickly evolved into a sophisticated political movement with a simple yet powerful slogan: “Islam is the solution.” The Brotherhood’s blend of religious devotion, social services, and political activism proved remarkably effective, spawning affiliate organizations across the Arab world from Jordan to Kuwait, from Syria to Sudan.

For decades, the Brotherhood operated in a complex dance with authoritarian regimes—sometimes tolerated as a counterweight to leftist movements, sometimes brutally suppressed when deemed too threatening. The organization’s patient, long-term strategy of building support through mosques, schools, and charitable networks created deep roots in Arab societies, making it impossible for governments to simply wish away.

The Arab Spring’s False Dawn

The 2011 Arab Spring uprisings appeared to vindicate the Brotherhood’s decades-long strategy of gradual political engagement. In Egypt, the movement’s Freedom and Justice Party won both parliamentary and presidential elections, bringing Mohammed Morsi to power in 2012. Similar electoral successes followed in Tunisia and Morocco, suggesting that political Islam had finally found its democratic moment.

Yet this triumph proved ephemeral. Morsi’s presidency lasted barely a year before military intervention removed him from power in 2013. The subsequent crackdown was unprecedented in its scope and severity—thousands of Brotherhood members were arrested, hundreds were killed in protests, and the organization was officially designated a terrorist group. Egypt’s example inspired a domino effect across the region, with Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Bahrain following suit in banning the Brotherhood.

Understanding the Regional Backlash

The synchronized regional effort to suppress the Brotherhood reflects deeper anxieties among Arab governments about political Islam’s challenge to existing power structures. For monarchies and military-backed republics alike, the Brotherhood’s vision of Islamic democracy represents an existential threat—offering an alternative legitimacy based on religious authority and popular support rather than traditional tribal, military, or dynastic claims to power.

The ban also reveals the shifting geopolitical dynamics of the Middle East. The UAE and Saudi Arabia, in particular, have positioned themselves as champions of a top-down, state-controlled version of “moderate Islam” that leaves no room for grassroots Islamic political movements. This approach has found support from secular nationalists and religious minorities who fear the Brotherhood’s majoritarian tendencies, as well as from Western governments concerned about stability and counterterrorism.

The Paradox of Suppression

History suggests that banning political movements rarely eliminates the underlying grievances that gave rise to them. The Brotherhood thrived for decades under repression, developing sophisticated underground networks and maintaining popular support through its social welfare activities. Today’s bans may drive the movement further underground, potentially radicalizing elements that once advocated for peaceful political participation.

Moreover, the suppression of the Brotherhood has created a vacuum in the political space between secular authoritarianism and violent extremism. Without moderate Islamist parties to channel religious political sentiment through democratic means, some fear that more radical alternatives may gain ground, particularly among youth who see no legitimate path for political expression.

As the Muslim Brotherhood approaches its centenary as a banned organization across much of its historical heartland, one must ask: Can the complex relationship between Islam and politics in the Arab world be resolved through suppression alone, or will the underlying tensions simply find new, potentially more destabilizing forms of expression?